Abstract
With the increasing dependencies on Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), the smart distribution system has similar characteristics to Cyber-Physical System (CPS) and is seen as the so-called “cyber-physical power system” (CPPS). However, the impact of upstream substation is becoming one of the main factors impacting on distribution reliability. To avoid the too optimistic conclusion, the Cyber-Induced Dependent Failures (CDFs) of upstream substation are important to be considered. Thus the cyber security risk brought by both the malfunction of ICT components and the cyber-attack should be taken into account. This paper provided a methodology to incorporate both the two sides of CDFs in upstream substation into cyber-enabled distribution system reliability assessment. In the sequential Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), the game process between attackers and defenders can be modelled as the semi-Markov Chain (SMP), and indices are calculated by the minimal path method. The effects of CDFs are quantified and converted onto the joint feeders, based on the Breadth-First-Search (BFS), as well. Some conclusions for the distribution and substation automation planning have been made and verified by the cyber-extended Roy Billinton Test System (RBTS).
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