Reliability Assessment for a Spacecraft Landing Buffer Mechanism Based on Small Sample Data

Abstract

The landing buffer mechanism (LBM) is a crucial component of aerospace landing explorations, determining the success of the entire mission. Reliability demonstration tests (RDTs) are required to ensure the LBM’s performance meets the design index. However, the RDTs of the LBM often encounter limited samples and zero-failure data, making traditional binominal test programs and reliability assessment methods based on the maximum likelihood theory unsuitable. This paper introduces a novel small-sample test verification method for the LBM, which transforms traditional binominal tests into more informative metrological tests by measuring the buffer strokes of the LBM’s subsystems. Furthermore, a confidence limit theory for the product of subsystem reliability is developed in conjunction with the reliability series model of the LBM. This theory can use the measurement data of subsystems to assess the confidence limit of the LBM’s reliability. An actual engineering application demonstrates that the proposed method can effectively handle zero-failure data and verifies that the LBM’s reliability exceeds 0.9999 with a confidence of 0.9.