Reliability Analysis of Gravity Retaining Wall Using Hybrid ANFIS

Abstract

Gravity retaining walls are a vital structure in the area of geotechnical engineering, and academicians in earlier studies have conveyed substantial uncertainties involved in calculating the factor of safety against overturning, using a deterministic approach. Hence, to enhance the accuracy and eliminate the uncertainties involved, artificial intelligence (AI) was used in the present research. The main aim of this study is to propose a high-performance machine learning (ML) model to determine the factor of safety (FOS) of gravity retaining walls against overturning. The projected methodology included a novel hybrid machine learning model that merged with an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and meta-heuristic optimization techniques (particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA), firefly algorithm (FFA) and grey wolf optimization (GWO)). In this research, four hybrid models, namely ANFIS-PSO, ANFIS-FFA, ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-GWO, were created to estimate the factor of safety against overturning. The proposed hybrid models were evaluated on two distinct datasets (training 70% and testing 30%) with three input combinations, namely cohesion (c), unit weight of soil (Υ) and angle of shearing resistance (φ). To access the prediction power of different hybrid models, various statistical parameters such as R2, AdjR2, VAF, WI, LMI, a-20 index, PI, KGE, RMSE, SI, MAE, NMBE and MBE were computed for training (TR) and testing (TS) datasets. The overall performance of the models indicated that ANFIS-PSO provided better results among all four models. The reliability index was computed using the first-order second-moment (FOSM) method for all models, and the probability of failure was also computed. A Williams plot was drawn to check the applicability domain of the hybrid model and to check the influence of different input parameters on the prediction of the factor of safety, and the Gini index was also computed.