Reliability analysis of fatigue damage extrapolations of wind turbines using offshore strain measurements

Clemens Hübler,Wout Weijtjens,Raimund Rolfes,Christof Devriendt

doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1037/3/032035

Abstract

While substructures of offshore wind turbines become older and begin to reach their design lifetimes, the relevance of measurement based lifetime extension increases. To make well-founded decisions on possible lifetime extensions, damage extrapolations based on measurements are needed. However, although for all substructures, fatigue damage calculations were conducted during the design process, there is no consensus on how to extrapolate 10-minute damages to lifetime damages. Furthermore, extrapolating damages is an uncertain process and its actual reliability is unknown. Therefore, the current work uses data of offshore strain measurements to assess different approaches of extrapolating damages, and to investigate the reliability of damage extrapolations. For the present data, the most reliable lifetime estimations are possible, if the damage data is split up into wind speed bins. For each wind speed bin, the occurrence probability should be based on data rather than on design documents. Moreover, using mean damages in each bin is the best practice. Furthermore, our results suggest that strain measurements of about 9 to 10 months lead to a relatively representative and unbiased data set. Therefore, if there are no significant changes of the turbine or the environmental conditions over the lifetime, damage extrapolations based on such a time period are sufficiently accurate.

Highlights

The oldest offshore wind turbines (OWTs) are operating for 20 years and more or are even already decommissioned [1]
Since the lifetime estimation based on measurement data becomes an important topic for ageing OWT substructures, firstly, this work assesses various damage extrapolation techniques
The use of plain wind speed bins is recommended for most applications, higher dimensional bins might be useful, if a more wind farm orientated lifetime estimation is conducted

Summary

Introduction

The oldest offshore wind turbines (OWTs) are operating for 20 years and more or are even already decommissioned [1]. A first standard for lifetime extension for wind turbines was recently introduced [2]. It proposes lifetime extensions based on a combination of inspections and renewed fatigue damage simulations using an updated design model. These simulationbased fatigue reassessments for OWT substructures are investigated, for example, by Ziegler and Muskulus [3, 4] and Bouty et al [5]. Due to the increasing relevance of lifetime extensions, measurement based damage extrapolations (i.e. lifetime calculations) became a research focus again [8, 9], as it is a valuable addition to simulation based analyses

Methods

Results

Conclusion