Reliability analysis for complex electromechanical multi-state systems utilizing universal generating function techniques

Abstract

The large-scale adoption of complex electromechanical systems (CMESs) renders it challenging to perform reliability assessments for such systems. In terms of the reliability evaluation of CMESs, previous studies generally assume that only binary states exist within the systems. However, owing to the stochastic failures and various operating characteristics of the system components, not only the good/bad states but also the performance levels within the system should be taken into account when analyzing the reliability of CMESs. Hence, we abstract the CMES as a multi-layer and multi-state network in which minimum maintenance units (MMUs) and three types of connections constitute nodes and edges in different layers. Furthermore, multi-state models for different MMUs in the CMES are developed based on universal generating functions (UGFs). Aggregation operators are then utilized to aggregate these UGFs to obtain the multi-state models. Subsequently, a cascading failure model is introduced to incorporate MMUs into the system reliability assessment. Thus, the effects of the operating mechanism and topological attributes can be considered in the reliability evaluation of the CEMS. Finally, the CRHX high-speed train system is used as an example to demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed method in the reliability assessment of the CMES.