Abstract

Globally, cities in developing countries are urbanising at alarming rates, and a major concern to hydrologists and planners are the options that affect the hydrologic functioning of watersheds. Environmental impact assessment (EIA) has been recognised as a key sustainable development tool for mitigating the adverse impacts of planned developments, however, research has shown that planned developments can affect people and the environment significantly due to urban flooding that arises from increased paved surfaces. Flooding is a major sustainable development issue, which often result from increased paved surfaces and decreased interception losses due to urbanisation and deforestation respectively. To date, several environmental assessment studies have advanced the concept of alternatives, yet, only a small number of hydrologic studies have discussed how the location of paved surface could influence catchment runoff. Specifically, research exploring the effects of location alternative in EIAs on urban hydrology is very rare. The Greater Port-Harcourt City (GPH) development established to meet the growth needs in Port-Harcourt city (in the Niger Delta) is a compelling example. The aim of this research is to examine the relative effect of EIA alternatives in three different locations on urban hydrology. The Hydrologic Engineering Centre’s hydrologic modelling system (HEC-HMS) hydrodynamic model was used to generate data for comparing runoff in three different basins. HEC-HMS software combine models that estimate: Loss, transformation, base flow and channel routing. Results reveal that developments with the same spatial extent had different effects on the hydrology of the basins and sub-basins in the area. Findings in this study suggest that basin size rather than location of the paved surface was the main factor influencing the hydrology of the watershed.

Highlights

  • Flooding remains the most re-occurring natural disaster in recent decades [1]

  • Findings in this study suggest that basin size rather than location of the paved surface was the main factor influencing the hydrology of the watershed

  • Three statistical measures were used consisting of the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) and relative percentage error (RPE)

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Summary

Introduction

Flooding remains the most re-occurring natural disaster in recent decades [1]. A number of these studies have suggested that understanding the anthropogenic factors and options that compound flood risk should remain a priority [2,7]. Have often resulted in environmental degradation and disproportionate impacts of natural disasters affecting millions worldwide [2,7]. Apart from flood impact, research have reported that urbanisation can have detrimental effects on water quality and soils. Increased urban land cover alter water quality in terms of nutrients (N, P and C), dissolved oxygen (DO) and suspended sediment [8,9], on the other hand the stream bed undergoes recurrent erosion due to higher and more frequent floods resulting from urbanisation [10,11]

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