Relationship between the number of pediatric patients with rotavirus and telephone triage for associated symptoms.

Abstract

Earlier syndromic surveillance may be effective in preventing the spread of infectious disease. However, there has been no research on syndromic surveillance for rotavirus. The study aimed to assess the relationship between the incidence of rotavirus infections and the number of telephone triages for associated symptoms in pediatric patients under 4years old in Osaka prefecture, Japan. This was a retrospective observational study for which the study period was the 3years between January 2015 and December 2017. We analyzed data on children under 4years old who were triaged by telephone triage nurses using software. The primary endpoint was the number of rotavirus patients under 4years triaged old per week. Using a linear regression model, we calculated the R square value of the regression model to assess the relationship between the number of patients with rotavirus and the number of telephone triages made for associated symptoms. Covariates in the linear regression model were the week number indicating seasonality and the weekly number of telephone triages related to rotavirus symptoms such as stomachache and vomiting. During the study period, there were 102,336 patients with rotavirus, and the number of people triaged by telephone was 123,720. The highest correlation coefficient was 0.921 in the regression model with the number of telephone triages for "stomachache+nausea/vomiting" and "stomachache+diarrhea+nausea/vomiting". The number of telephone triage symptoms was positively related to the incidence of pediatric patients with rotavirus in a large metropolitan area of Japan.