Abstract
Objective: To explore the relationship between amniotic fluid and peripheral blood inflammatory factors and the pregnancy outcomes after emergency cervical cerclage, and to identify effective indicators for predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes after the procedure. Methods: A case-control study was conducted, including pregnant women who were hospitalized at Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, from January 1, 2013, to July 31, 2019, and underwent emergency cervical cerclage due to cervical dilatation at gestational age between 16 and 28 weeks. A total of 85 pregnant women who underwent amniocentesis for the detection of amniotic fluid inflammatory factors during the perioperative period were included. Based on whether their baby was perinatal death, the participants were divided into the case group (28 cases with perinatal death) and the control group (57 cases with live births). Univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to establish a regression model and nomogram. Results: (1) The levels of tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10 in the amniotic fluid during the perioperative period and postoperative serum C-reactive protein (CRP) were significantly higher in the case group compared to the control group (all P<0.05). The case group underwent emergency cervical cerclage at an earlier gestational age compared to the control group, and their cervical dilation was greater than that of the control group (all P<0.05). However, there were no significant differences in the white blood cell counts, neutrophil percentage, and the level of preoperative CRP in the peripheral blood of pregnant women during the perioperative period (all P>0.05). (2) Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that the levels of amniotic fluid WBC, TNF-α, IL-1β, IL-2 receptor (IL-2R), IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, postoperative CRP in the peripheral blood, gestational age at cerclage and cervical dilation were associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes (all P<0.05). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that only the levels of amniotic fluid WBC and TNF-α were independent risk factors for perinatal death. (3) Based on clinical practice, a multivariate logistic regression model was constructed including the levels of amniotic fluid TNF-α, WBC, gestational age at cervical cerclage, and cervical dilation. A nomogram and calibration curve were plotted, which suggested its good predictive value for adverse pregnancy outcomes. Conclusions: During the perioperative period of emergency cervical cerclage, the levels of amniotic fluid WBC, TNF-α, IL-1β, IL-2R, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10 are associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, with amniotic fluid WBC and TNF-α showing the closest relationship. However, there is no significant correlation between maternal peripheral hemogram during the perioperative period and adverse pregnancy outcomes. A model constructed by amniotic fluid TNF-α, WBC, cervical cerclage gestational age, and cervical dilation has a good predictive effect on adverse pregnancy outcomes.
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