Reinforcing resilience for integrated design of green and grey infrastructure with real-time control rules by considering system failures

Abstract

The mutual benefits of real-time control and green and grey infrastructure for urban drainage system (UDS) renovations have drawn great attention. However, risks emerged due to equipment and structural failures, and no studies considered such failures while optimizing the renovation scheme. To address this issue, this study proposed a multi-criteria optimization method for the integrated design of green and grey infrastructure with real-time control rules, where the economic cost and system performance under normal and exceptional conditions were optimized simultaneously. Failure probabilities of equipment and structure were quantified using homogeneous Poisson process models, and failure losses were estimated with the aid of a machine learning-based surrogate model. This approach was tested with a combined UDS in China. Results indicate that: (1) More investment does not necessarily increase system resilience to failures. Equipment and structural failures can significantly lower the effectiveness of grey infrastructure and real-time control. Therefore, solutions with more investments in grey infrastructure, which indicate higher costs, experience greater failure losses. (2) System resilience to failures can be significantly improved while maintaining other objectives when compared with the traditional design scheme. The proposed method allows for a new perspective in addition to the cost-and-resilience two-objectives design of UDS renovations, especially for systems threatened by various failures.