Reinforcement with Fading Memories

Abstract

We study the effect of imperfect memory on decision making in the context of a stochastic sequential action-reward problem. An agent chooses a sequence of actions, which generate discrete rewards at different rates. She is allowed to make new choices at rate β, whereas past rewards disappear from her memory at rate μ. We focus on a family of decision rules where the agent makes a new choice by randomly selecting an action with a probability approximately proportional to the amount of past rewards associated with each action in her memory. We provide closed form formulas for the agent’s steady-state choice distribution in the regime where the memory span is large ([Formula: see text]) and show that the agent’s success critically depends on how quickly she updates her choices relative to the speed of memory decay. If [Formula: see text], the agent almost always chooses the best action (that is, the one with the highest reward rate). Conversely, if [Formula: see text], the agent chooses an action with a probability roughly proportional to its reward rate.