Abstract
e14133 Background: Historically, pharmaceutical companies submitted phase III evidence for consideration of public reimbursement; however, phase II data is being more commonly used as primary evidence. Whether submissions with phase II data lead to similar rates of positive reimbursement recommendations as phase III data has not been comprehensively investigated. We compared frequency of reimbursement recommendations between phase II and phase III submissions for oncologic drugs and assessed for factors associated with a positive or conditional recommendation. Methods: We identified all submissions with phase II data from the CADTH pCODR’s expert review committee (pERC) recommendations from July 2011 to July 2019. We identified fourteen binary variables relating to clinical benefit, patient-based values, economic impact, and adoption feasibility. We used Fisher’s exact test to characterize associations between all variables and the final recommendation. We conducted multivariable analysis with logistic regression for three variables: feasibility of phase III study, hematologic indication, and unmet need. Results: We identified 139 submissions with a pERC final recommendation. Twenty-seven (19%) submissions were supported by phase II evidence, with 63% having a positive recommendation in comparison to 82% among submissions with phase III evidence. Clinical benefit (p < 0.001), gap in current treatment standards (p = 0.047), and patient alignment (p = 0.015) were associated with a positive recommendation, whereas the future feasibility of conducting a phase III study was associated with a negative recommendation (p = 0.040). No significant association was found between the recommendation and factors related to cost effectiveness or adoption feasibility. In multivariable analysis, only feasibility of a phase III study was significantly associated with a negative recommendation (p = 0.024, OR = 0.132). Conclusions: Oncologic submissions with phase II data were less likely to be recommended for public reimbursement than phase III studies. Positive or conditional recommendation was more likely if they demonstrated clinical benefit and aligned with patient values. pERC was less likely to recommend a submission with phase II if a phase III trial was either possible or already initiated.
Highlights
Clinical trials have emerged as the ideal method in the evaluation of new medical interventions
Conclusions more than half the oncologic submissions with phase ii data were recommended for public reimbursement, compared with submissions having phase iii data, they were less likely to be recommended
A positive or conditional recommendation was more likely if clinical benefit and alignment with patient values was demonstrated
Summary
Clinical trials have emerged as the ideal method in the evaluation of new medical interventions. In Canada, the Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health [cadth (https://www.cadth.ca/)], an independent not-for-profit organization, is responsible for providing health care decision-makers with objective evidence to help them make informed decisions about the optimal use of health technologies, including providing evidence-based recommendations to participating federal, provincial, and territorial governments for public reimbursement of novel therapies. Those tasks are allocated to the Common Drug Review for non-oncologic drugs and to the pan-Canadian Oncology Drug Review (pcodr) for oncologic drugs. We compared the frequency of reimbursement recommendations for phase ii and phase iii submissions and assessed for variables associated with a positive or conditional recommendation
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