Abstract

Abstract : Striking regularities in the occurrence of intense solar flares have been identified, and an investigation of these regularities is beginning to provide new information about solar disturbance events. On the basis of earlier work the work recorded here began with the assumption that regular variations, with periodicities of the order of several days, occur on the Sun. The physical nature of these variations is unknown, but it was assumed that one manifestation of their existence is the occurrence of discrete solar disturbances. The general concept was that the probability of occurrences of an event, such as an intense flare, is determined by the phase of the assumed solar periodic variations. (Author)

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