Abstract

Estimating flood discharge at ungauged sites is a significant challenge facing water resources planners and engineers during the planning and design of hydraulic structures, managing flood prone zones, and operating artificial waterbodies. Developing more robust models to improve the reliability of flood discharge estimations is thus very useful. The role of ecological attributes including land use/land cover (LULC), hydrologic soil groups (HSG), and watershed physical characteristics (area, main stream length, average slope), and watershed shape coefficients (form, compactness, circularity, and elongation) in explaining the overall variation in flood magnitude in 39 watersheds, located in the southern basin of the Caspian Sea, was investigated. As the LULC and HSG were found to play a significant role in explaining total variation (40–89%) in flood magnitudes, their inclusion in the estimation of flood magnitudes can provide more reliable estimates of flood risk and magnitude.

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