Regional visibility modeling for the Eastern United States

Abstract

Visibility modeling over long transport distances is complicated not only by the chemical and removal processes, but also by the multiplicity of sources from different areas that contribute to the particle and gaseous concentrations—and visibility impairment—at specific locations. To study interregional pollutant exchanges and their effect on visibility, a regional model has been developed and applied to the eastern United States and the visibility reduction budgeted according to area of origin. The new model, called VISMAP-1, produces short-term (three-hour) and long-term (monthly) sulfate concentrations; visibility calculations are made by applying a mass-to-light-scattering function to the aerosol concentrations. This function is weighted according to relative humidity to account for hygroscopic particle growth. One of the most useful features of this model is its capability to budget fine-particulate and gaseous concentrations in various receptor regions according to the contribution of source regions. In this analysis for visibility effects, three-hour SURE (Sulfate Regional Experiment) sulfate measurements for July 1978 are compared to fine-particle calculations to evaluate the model's ability to predict the transport of aerosol sulfur for the shorter averaging period. Visibility is modeled from the sulfate calculations using an empirical mass-to-light-scattering function. This technique is commonly used to determine aerosol light-scattering properties at given relative humidities. National Weather Service visual range observations have been compared with the model's visibility calculations; both regional patterns of visibility degradation and the absolute magnitude of the reduction in visual range are evaluated. Preliminary results are encouraging and the VISMAP modeling approach appears to be a useful step toward identifying long-range source/receptor relationships that affect visibility.