Regional variation in sudden unexpected death in infancy in New Zealand.

Abstract

To estimate the relative risk of sudden unexpected death in infancy (SUDI) by district health board (DHB) in New Zealand after adjustment for socio-economic deprivation, ethnicity and other demographic factors. We conducted a population-based cohort study using data from the Integrated Data Infrastructure, a large research database containing linked data from a range of government agencies. The study population was all live births and their mothers in New Zealand from 2012 to 2018. The exposure of interest was DHB. The outcome was SUDI. There were 418 068 live births in New Zealand from 2012 to 2018, and of these 415 401 (99.4%) had valid DHB data. There was considerable variation in the proportion of infants in each DHB living in the most deprived decile varying from 4.5% in Nelson, West Coast and Canterbury to 29.7% in Counties Manukau. There were 267 SUDI cases, giving an overall rate of 0.64/1000 live births during the study period (2012-2018). The SUDI rate varied from 1.11/1000 in Northland to 0.30/1000 in Waitemata and Auckland. Counties Manukau had the largest number of deaths (n=54; rate=1.08/1000). Five DHB regions had increased risk of SUDI compared to the reference group but, after adjustment, no DHB was significantly increased. This study found that there is marked variation in SUDI risk by DHB, but this is explained by socio-economic and demographic variation within DHBs. This study emphasises the importance of the contribution of social determinants of health to SUDI.