Abstract

Being a highly industrialized country with one of the highest male lung cancer mortality rates in Europe, Belgium is an interesting study area for lung cancer research. This study investigates geographical patterns in lung cancer mortality in Belgium. More specifically it probes into the contribution of individual as well as area-level characteristics to (sub-district patterns in) lung cancer mortality. Data from the 2001 census linked to register data from 2001–2011 are used, selecting all Belgian inhabitants aged 65+ at time of the census. Individual characteristics include education, housing status and home ownership. Urbanicity, unemployment rate, the percentage employed in mining and the percentage employed in other high-risk industries are included as sub-district characteristics. Regional variation in lung cancer mortality at sub-district level is estimated using directly age-standardized mortality rates. The association between lung cancer mortality and individual and area characteristics, and their impact on the variation of sub-district level is estimated using multilevel Poisson models. Significant sub-district variations in lung cancer mortality are observed. Individual characteristics explain a small share of this variation, while a large share is explained by sub-district characteristics. Individuals with a low socioeconomic status experience a higher lung cancer mortality risk. Among women, an association with lung cancer mortality is found for the sub-district characteristics urbanicity and unemployment rate, while for men lung cancer mortality was associated with the percentage employed in mining. Not just individual characteristics, but also area characteristics are thus important determinants of (regional differences in) lung cancer mortality.

Highlights

  • Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide

  • Among men an east-west pattern is visible with high lung cancer mortality rates located in the east of Belgium, while among women high lung cancer mortality rates tend to be clustered in the cities

  • Geographical differences in lung cancer mortality are largest among women; their average relative deviation (ARD = 22%) is higher compared to that of men (ARD = 8.8%)

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Summary

Introduction

Lung cancer is one of the most common cancers worldwide. In 2002 an estimated 1.18 million lung cancer deaths were recorded, accounting for 18% of cancer deaths and 2% of total mortality [1]. Belgium is a densely populated area with one of Europe’s highest levels of air pollution [4] and a high concentration of industry posing a risk to air, water and soil quality [5]. This high-risk setting makes Belgium an interesting study area for further research into the lung cancer epidemic

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