Regional differences in carbon emission of China’s industries and its decomposition effects

Abstract

In order to better achieve the goal of carbon emissions, this paper combined the theory of gravity center and Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model to analyze the regional emission differences in China. Researches have shown that the difference in economic development levels between the eastern and western regions is an important factor that causes the shift of the center of gravity of carbon emission and its intensity to the west. In decomposition effects, the economic output effect has the largest contribution (56%) to emissions, and the energy intensity effect has the best effect in suppressing emissions. Except for some industries in the East and Central South of China, energy structure in other regions is still dominated by high-carbon energy. In the energy intensity effect, the suppression effects in the East and Central South of China have reached −83,440 Mt and −78,850 Mt respectively, while the Northeast and Northwest of China areas are not significant. Vigorously developing low-carbon technologies and promoting clean energy can effectively reduce carbon intensity. It is recommended to implement the policy of adapting to local conditions according to the current situation of the region, and gradually phase out high energy-consuming industries under the guidance of the government, so as to strive to implement the emission reduction target.