Abstract

13 Background: Optimal patient selection for first-line treatment targeting epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR) in RAS-WT mCRC is based on primary tumor sidedness (PTS) with anti-EGFR being the preferred option for patients with left-sided mCRC (LC). Right-sided mCRCs (RC) are preferentially treated in combination with bevacizumab targeting vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF). Here, improvement in patient selection was evaluated by combining clinical biomarkers beyond PTS using the randomized phase III trial FIRE-3. Methods: FIRE-3 evaluated first-line FOLFIRI (folinic acid, fluorouracil and irinotecan) plus cetuximab (FOLFIRI/Cet) versus FOLFIRI plus bevacizumab (FOLFIRI/Bev) in patients with RAS-WT mCRC. Besides PTS, further clinical biomarkers were evaluated in pairwise combinations using Cox regression models and model-based recursive partitioning with Weibull models to predict treatment benefit of either treatment arm regarding overall survival (OS): age, sex, liver-limited disease status (LLD) and baseline carcinoembryonic antigen serum level (CEA). The resulting P-values of second-order interactions were adjusted using Holm-Bonferroni correction. The model with the best test statistics and P-value was chosen for further evaluations. Results: In 400 patients with RAS-WT mCRC, a model combining PTS and LLD status best predicted treatment outcome of either treatment arm (c-index = 0.603, p=0.005). Here, a significant survival benefit of FOLFIRI/Cet over FOLFIRI/Bev was evident in patients with LC/non-LLD (HR 0.62, p=0.02) compared to LC/LLD (HR 0.83, p=0.40). In patients with RC, FOLFIRI/Bev was significantly associated with increased OS compared to FOLFIRI/Cet when patients suffered from non-LLD (HR 2.09, p=0.010). However, patients with RC/LLD rather had a benefit from FOLFIRI/Cet compared to FOLFIRI/Bev (HR 0.59, p=0.218). Conclusions: Combining clinical biomarkers PTS and LLD status might improve optimal patient selection for targeted first-line treatment in RAS-WT mCRC. Validation in further data sets is warranted. Clinical trial information: NCT00433927 .

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