Abstract

ObjectiveThe primary objective of this study was to estimate the incidence of treatment failure (TF) to protease inhibitor monotherapies (PI/r-MT) with lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r) or darunavir/ritonavir (DRV/r).DesignA multicenter cohort of HIV-infected patients with viral load (VL) ≤50 copies/mL, who underwent a switch from any triple combination therapy to PI/r-MT with either LPV/r or DRV/r.MethodsVL was assessed in each center according to local procedures. Residual viremia was defined by any HIV-RNA value detectable below 50 copies/mL by a Real-Time PCR method. Standard survival analysis was used to estimate the rate of TF (defined by virological failure or interruption of monotherapy or reintroduction of combination therapy). A multivariable Cox regression analysis with automatic stepwise procedures was used to identify factors independently associated with TF among nadir and baseline CD4+ counts, residual viremia, time spent with <50 HIV-RNA copies/mL before switch, history of virological failure, HCV co-infection, being on a PI/r and hemoglobin concentrations at baseline.ResultsSix hundred ninety patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were included in this analysis. Their median follow-up was 20 (10–37) months. By month 36, TF occurred in 176 (30.2%; 95% CI:25.9–34.5) patients. Only CD4+ nadir counts (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 2.03 [95% CI: 1.35, 3.07] for counts ≤100 vs. >100 cells/μL) and residual viremia (aHR = 1.48 [95% CI: 1.01–2.17] vs. undetectable VL) were independently associated to TF.ConclusionsResidual viremia and nadir CD4+ counts <100 cells/μL should be regarded as the main factors to be taken into account before considering switching to a PI/r-MT.

Highlights

  • Ritonavir-boosted-PI based monotherapy (PI/r-MT) is considered by Italian guidelines a possible alternative switch strategy to standard combination antiretroviral therapy in case of drug toxicity [1]

  • CD4+ nadir counts and residual viremia were independently associated to treatment failure (TF)

  • Residual viremia and nadir CD4+ counts

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Summary

Methods

This is a prospective study of a cohort of people who was followed-up prospectively at each of the clinical sites. All factors previously identified as a predictor of mono PI/r-based therapy even in a single study (based on literature data) have been considered for inclusion in the score These include the eight main candidates listed below:. Six hundred ninety patients fulfilled inclusion criteria and were included in this analysis Their median (Q1, Q3) age, nadir CD4+ count, current CD4+ count and duration of virological suppression below 50 copies/mL were 44 (37, 50) years, 359 (209, 633) cells/μL, 636 (482, 838) cells/μL and 44 (19, 75) months, respectively. Stepwise approaches removed all considered predictors (CD4+ count at starting PI/r-MT, time spent with viral load

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