Abstract
Four hypotheses are tested to account for the increase in referrals and child admissions to the care of the Children's Aid Society (CAS) of London and Middlesex: the threshold of measured risk between 2 years at referral; a lowering in the average cumulative risk scores in 2001 for children admitted to CAS care compared to children admitted to CAS care in 1995; a change in the pattern of referrals from community sources; and the possible shift in the length of time children spend in CAS care. Risk is measured using the Ontario Risk Assessment Tool and the principal comparisons are made between substantiated cases of abuse seen in 1995 and 2001. It appears that it is the likelihood of instances of child maltreatment—particularly serious instances—that are now more likely to be reported than was previously the case. These results are discussed in terms of their relevance for explaining shifts in the demand for child protection services in Ontario.
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