Abstract

Some scientists prefer to exercise substantial judgment in formulating a likelihood function for their data. Others prefer to try to get the data to tell them which likelihood is most appropriate. We suggest here that one way to reduce the judgment component of the likelihood function is to adopt a mixture of potential likelihoods and let the data determine the weights on each likelihood. We distinguish several different types of subjectivity in the likelihood function and show with examples how these subjective elements may be given more equitable treatment.

Highlights

  • We propose methods for modeling the likelihood function that will require fewer subjective judgments

  • We first discuss the nature of the problem of subjectivity in the likelihood function; we review some related research; and we define a mixture likelihood function and suggest estimation procedures that reduce the effects of subjective views imposed on the observed data

  • The subjective interpretation of empirical data in medicine was discussed by Kaptchuk (2003)

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Summary

Introduction

We propose methods for modeling the likelihood function that will require fewer subjective judgments. We first discuss the nature of the problem of subjectivity in the likelihood function; we review some related research; and we define a mixture likelihood function and suggest estimation procedures that reduce the effects of subjective views imposed on the observed data

Statement of the problem
Related Research
Types of Subjectivity in the Likelihood Function
Reducing “model subjectivity”
Reducing “weighted-data subjectivity”
Reducing “experiment subjectivity”
Conclusions
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