Abstract

Improvements in energy efficiency and reductions in energy demand are expected to contribute more than half of the reduction in global carbon emissions over the next few decades. These unprecedented reductions require transformations in the systems that provide energy services. However, the dominant analytical perspectives, grounded in neoclassical economics and social psychology, focus upon marginal changes and provide only limited guidance on how such transformations may occur and how they can be shaped. We argue that a socio-technical transitions perspective is more suited to address the complexity of the challenges involved. This perspective understands energy services as being provided through large-scale, capital intensive and long-lived infrastructures that co-evolve with technologies, institutions, skills, knowledge and behaviours to create broader ‘sociotechnical systems’. To provide guidance for research in this area, this paper identifies and describes thirteen debates in socio-technical transitions research, organized under the headings of emergence, diffusion and impact, as well as more synthetic cross-cutting issues.

Highlights

  • Improvements in energy efficiency and reductions in energy demand are widely expected to contribute more than half of the reduction in global carbon emissions over the few decades [1]

  • The paper focuses on demand-side low-carbon innovations, which refer to new technologies, organisational arrangements and modes of behaviour that are expected to improve energy efficiency and/or reduce energy demand

  • We suggest that the Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) [42,43,18] is the most suited socio-technical approach

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Summary

Introduction

Improvements in energy efficiency and reductions in energy demand are widely expected to contribute more than half of the reduction in global carbon emissions over the few decades [1]. The paper focuses on demand-side low-carbon innovations, which refer to new technologies, organisational arrangements and modes of behaviour (or social practices) that are expected to improve energy efficiency and/or reduce energy demand. This broad definition encompasses both incremental and radical innovations relevant to all energy using sectors. A socio-technical transitions perspective is more appropriate for two reasons Energy services such as heating and mobility are provided through large-scale, capital intensive and long-lived infrastructures that co-evolve with associated technologies, institutions, skills, knowledge and behaviours to create broader ‘sociotechnical systems’ [16,17,18,19,20,21,22].

The sociotechnical transitions perspective
Assumptions with regard to innovation
Transitions in sociotechnical systems
Emergence of low carbon innovations
Finance and investment related uncertainties
Cognitive uncertainties
Social uncertainties
The relative role of outsiders and incumbents
The scalability of niche-innovations
Place and geography
The economic and business dimensions of niche innovations
Changing user practices
Diffusion of low carbon innovations
How does the MLP relate to existing diffusion models
Diffusion of systemic innovations
Accelerated diffusion and low carbon transition
Impact of low carbon innovations
Rebound effects
Analyzing impact scenarios
Modelling tools for sociotechnical transitions
The co-construction of impacts
Conclusion and implications
Radical low carbon innovation involves cultural change
Radical low carbon innovation involves new policies and political struggles
Findings
Radical low carbon innovation involves pervasive uncertainty
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