Abstract
An assessment of the impact of the evolution of the European fossil-fuelled electricity generation technology mix to 2050 on the EU target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 20–30% compared to 1990 levels by 2020 has been performed. The influence of fuel and carbon prices, advances in carbon capture and storage technology and the share of non-fossil power sources in electricity generation have been evaluated. The policy target is only achieved in a carbon constraint environment, with the deployment of CCS technology, accompanied by a fuel switch to natural gas for a part of the fossil-fuelled capacity which reduces emissions to the desired level.
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