Abstract

ABSTRACTLand subsidence associated with groundwater extraction in the city of Beijing, China, has been a problem for decades. Remote sensing has been used extensively in prior studies to monitor subsidence in Beijing. However, given recent changes in precipitation and groundwater management, there is an urgent need to update the subsidence record and to evaluate whether the long-term spatiotemporal patterns of subsidence have changed. This study therefore investigates the recent spatiotemporal patterns of land subsidence in Beijing by tomography-based persistent scatterer interferometry SAR (Tomo-PSInSAR) technology, using 39 RadarSAT-2 images from 2012 to 2015 and 33 Sentinel-1 images from 2016 to May-2018, and drawing upon Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial analysis methods. Vertical ground deformation rates in Beijing were found to range from −176.2 to +12.3 mm year−1 from 2012 to 2015, but subsequently decreased to −119 to +8 mm year−1 from 2016 to May 2018. Three spatial scale of subsidences are evident: At the metropolitan regional-scale, the total area of subsidence area is about 1235.2 km2, and comprises four main subsiding regions, located in the northern and eastern parts of the city. More than 85% of the subsiding area is located between the Fifth and Sixth Ring Roads. At a more local scale, eight main subsidence bowls are characterized by different patterns of subsidence. Some of the subsidence bowls are separated by active faults. Time-series data of the displacement show that the decreasing subsidence rate after 2016 could be due to the 1 m rise in mean groundwater level from the end of 2014 to mid-2018. This change in groundwater level is likely due to an increase in precipitation since 2016, and water transfers, which reached 2.3 × 109 m3 by 2017 from the South-North Water Transfer Project. At the scale of individual infrastructure projects, the Beijing subway, main roads and the Capital Airport all show severe uneven subsidence, which is a cause for concern. To our knowledge, this research is the first study using satellite SAR remote sensing methods to document the change in the land subsidence rate of Beijing. Starting in 2016, the rate notably declined, suggesting that subsidence mitigation strategies are beginning to have an effect.

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