Abstract

Background Inflammation plays a key role in the pathophysiology and progression of acute kidney injury (AKI). Red cell distribution width (RDW) to platelet ratio (RPR) is a novel inflammatory index, and its prognostic effect on critically ill patients with AKI is rarely investigated. This work is aimed at investigating the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality in these patients. Methods Data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. All-cause death during hospitalization was selected as the primary outcome. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value, and the area under the curve (AUC) was applied to compare predictive ability among different indices. Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to assess the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality. Restricted cubic spline analysis for multivariate Cox model was performed to explore the shape of the relationship between RPR and mortality. Results A total of 24,166 critically ill patients with AKI were included. The relationship of RPR and in-hospital mortality was nonlinear with a trend to rise rapidly and then gradually. For mortality prediction, RPR had the optimal cut-off value of 0.093, of which the AUC was 0.791 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.773–0.810), which was higher than those of RDW, platelet, sequential organ failure assessment score, simplified acute physiology score II, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and platelet to lymphocytes ratio. After adjustments for various confounders, high RPR showed a significant association with increased mortality with hazard ratios of 1.46 (95% CI: 1.40–1.55) for categorical variable and 1.88 (95% CI: 1.80–1.97) for continuous variables in the fully adjusted model. Conclusions Elevated RPR on admission is substantially associated with high risk of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with AKI and thus may serve as a novel predictor of prognosis for these patients.

Highlights

  • Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication in critically ill patients and has unacceptable morbidity and mortality

  • In addition to short-term mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with the later development of chronic kidney disease, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and long-term mortality [3]

  • According to the optimal cut-off value of RDW-to-platelet ratio (RPR) (0.093) determined by Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, 15,509 patients were in the low RPR group (

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Summary

Introduction

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication in critically ill patients and has unacceptable morbidity and mortality. Its incidence rate varies between 30% and 70% in critically ill patients with an in-hospital mortality of 20– 25% [1, 2]. Red cell distribution width (RDW) to platelet ratio (RPR) is a novel inflammatory index, and its prognostic effect on critically ill patients with AKI is rarely investigated. Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to assess the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality. Elevated RPR on admission is substantially associated with high risk of in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with AKI and may serve as a novel predictor of prognosis for these patients

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