Abstract

The etiology of recurrent stroke is probably multifactorial and many recurrences remain unexplained by conventional risk factors. The purpose of this study is to investigate if common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT), an established vascular risk factor, can predict recurrence in first-ever stroke survivors. Two hundred and eighty-four consecutive patients with a first-ever ischemic stroke were investigated with carotid ultrasonography and were screened for the first recurrent stroke up to 12 months. Sixteen (5.6%, 95% CI: 3.5–9.0%) recurrent ischemic strokes were recorded. Among demographic data, conventional vascular risk factors, presenting stroke features and ultrasonographic measurements, CCA-IMT was the only parameter that differed significantly between those who suffered a recurrent stroke and those who did not. Cox’s regression analysis adjusted for confounding factors, showed that CCA-IMT was the only independent predictor of stroke recurrence (HR 1.65; 95% CI: 1.11–2.46%). We propose that CCA-IMT measurements may help to identify stroke patients at higher risk for recurrence and to plan secondary prevention strategies.

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