Recurrent Neural Network-Based Hybrid Modeling Method for Digital Twin of Boiler System in Coal-Fired Power Plant

Abstract

Due to the simplified assumptions or unascertained equipment parameters, traditional mechanism models of boiler system in coal-fired power plant usually have predictive errors that cannot be ignored. In order to further improve the predictive accuracy of the model, this paper proposes a novel recurrent neural network-based hybrid modeling method for digital twin of boiler system. First, the mechanism model of boiler system is described through recurrent neural network (RNN) to facilitate training and updating parameters, while the interpretability of the model does not degenerate. Second, for the time-varying parameters in the mechanism model, the functional relationship between them and the state variables is constructed by neurons to improve the predictive accuracy. Third, the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model is established to describe the unascertained dynamic characteristics to compensate the predictive residual of the mechanism model. Fourth, the update architecture and training algorithm applicable to the hybrid model are established to realize the iterative optimization of model parameters. Finally, experimental results show that the hybrid modeling method proposed in this paper can improve the predictive performance of traditional models effectively.