Recurrence of historical drought events over the Iberian Peninsula in different observational datasets and reanalyses

Abstract

<p>Extreme climate events such as droughts can have very strong impacts both for society and the environment. In particular, the occurrence of severe droughts can endanger the balance of an ecosystem. While intact woodlands, e.g. the Iberian cork-oak ecosystem, are well adapted to withstand single severe drought events, both competition with invading species and recurrent droughts (i.e. droughts in consecutive years) may drive these systems towards critical limits. This is of crucial importance considering that the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme droughts are projected to increase in future decades in various regions all over the world, including the Mediterranean region. <br>We evaluate the occurrence and intensity of historical extreme drought events over the Iberian Peninsula for the past decades. Special focus is given to consecutive/recurrent drought events. Our study compares various indices for the identification of droughts, e.g. the SPEI (Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index), the SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) or indices from the “Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices” (ETCCDI). All indices are based on precipitation and/or temperature. We analyse different observational (E-OBS V17, V20, IBERIA01) and reanalysis datasets (ERA-Interim, ERA5) at several spatial resolutions, ranging roughly between 10 km and 25 km. The high resolution of the datasets enables the consideration of small-scale processes and local topographic effects which are relevant for extreme droughts, thus enabling a deeper insight on the physical mechanisms associated with droughts in the study area.</p>