Abstract
In a study of the probability of exceedance of a selected stage for daily maximum water levels, exponential and gamma models can be shown to be more realistic than the Markov model described in the first paper of this series. The important differences are in the tails of the distributions, and the estimate of the expected recurrence interval is affected little by the choice of model. Confidence limits for the mean recurrence interval are, in fact, somewhat wider for the exponential model than for the Markov model. It is shown that the general relationship between the expected recurrence interval and the return period for the annual maximum series depends on the choice of model.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
