Abstract
The efficient management of an agricultural system or the operation of a water supply scheme requires knowledge about critical droughts, such as their length, severity and frequency of occurrence. Several theoretical distributions are fitted to drought events of up to one year's duration and the average recurrence intervals calculated. A methodology based on stochastically generated data is proposed and used to obtain the average recurrence intervals of events of duration longer than one year. These methods are applied to five river basins in Victoria. The accuracy of the method is dependent on the adequacy of the generating model.
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