Abstract

Geological surface modeling is typically based on seismic data, well data, and models of regional geology. However, structural interpretation of these data is error-prone, especially in the absence of structural morphology information, Existing geological surface models suffer from high levels of uncertainty, which exposes oil and gas exploration and development to additional risk. In this paper, we achieve a reconstruction of the uncertainties associated with a geological surface using chance-constrained programming based on multi-source data. We also quantified the uncertainty of the modeling data and added a disturbance term to the objective function. Finally, we verified the applicability of the method using both synthetic and real fault data. We found that the reconstructed geological models met geological rules and reduced the reconstruction uncertainty.

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