Abstract

The question of how successful we are in predicting pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (panNET) with poor prognosis has not been fully answered yet. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of clinicopathological features on prognosis and to determine their validity in prediction of prognosis and whether a better prognostic classification can be made. Fifty-six patients who underwent pancreatic resection for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor were included. The associations between clinicopathological parameters and prognosis were evaluated statistically. Efficiencies of different thresholds for tumor size, mitotic count, and Ki67 proliferation index for prognosis prediction were compared. Vascular invasion was statistically associated with high tumor grade, advanced pT stage, and mortality rate. The presence of non-functional tumor, lymphatic invasion, and > 10cm tumor size were significantly related to shorter overall survival. Advanced pT stage (pT3-4), > 5cm tumor size, and high tumor grade (grades 2-3) were significantly associated with shorter disease-free survival. The mortality rate showed the strongest statistical significance with mitotic count when grouped as 1: < 2, 2: 2-10, and 3: > 10 mitosis/ 2 mm2. The 10% threshold value for Ki67 index was more successful in predicting adverse prognosis. Among the morphologic variants, the ductulo-insular variant was the most promising to have positive prognostic value in our series, although no statistical significance was detected. In conclusion, threshold values of 5cm and 10cm for tumor size, 10% for Ki67 proliferation index, and 10/2 mm2 for mitotic count and vascular and lymphatic invasion assessed separately are potential prognostic candidates for better stratification of panNETs.

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