Abstract

To identify the extent to which the presence of recent stressful events are risk factors for suicide among active-duty soldiers as reported by informants. Next-of-kin (NOK) and supervisors (SUP) of active duty soldiers (n=135) who died by suicide and two groups of living controls: propensity-matched (n=128) and soldiers who reported suicidal ideation in the past year, but did not die (SI) (n=108) provided data via structured interviews from the Study to Assess Risk and Resilience in Servicemembers (Army STARRS). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to create a risk score for suicide. The odds of suicide increased significantly for soldiers experiencing relationship problems, military punishment, and perceived failure or humiliation in the month prior to death. Suicide risk models with these risk factors predicted suicide death among those who reported SI in the past year (OR=5.9, [95% CI = 1.5, 24.0] χ 2=6.24, p=0.0125, AUC, 0.73 (0.7, 0.8) NOK) and (OR=8.6, [95% CI = 1.4, 51.5] χ 2=5.49, p=0.0191, AUC, 0.78 (0.7, 0.8); SUP) suggesting the combination of these recent stressors may contribute to the transition from ideation to action. Our findings suggest for the first time recent stressors distinguished suicide ideating controls from suicide decedents in the month prior to death as reported by informants. Implications for preventive intervention efforts for clinicians, supervisors and family members in identifying the transition from ideation to action are discussed.

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