Recent incidence trends of oesophago-gastric cancer in Sweden

Abstract

Background Oesophago-gastric cancers have had sharply different and changing incidence patterns depending on subsite and histology, but incidence data for the last few years are missing. We aimed to provide updated incidence trends of oesophago-gastric tumours by subsite and histology in Sweden. Material and Methods The Swedish Cancer Registry provided data for 74,303 patients with oesophago-gastric cancer aged ≥50 years in 1970–2020. The focus was on the last available 6-year period, i.e., from 2015 until 2020 inclusive. We calculated yearly age-standardized and sex-specific incidence rates per 100,000 person-years, with the age distribution (in 5-year age groups) of the Swedish population in year 2000 as reference. Results For oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, the incidence continued to decrease between 2015 and 2020 (from 6.46 to 5.53/100,000 person-years in men, and from 4.26 to 3.78/100,000 person-years in women). For oesophageal adenocarcinoma, the earlier increasing incidence rates rather slightly decreased in men between 2015 and 2020 (from 12.39 to 11.70/100,000 person-years) and increased marginally in women (from 2.49 to 2.85/100,000 person-years). The incidence rates of cardia adenocarcinoma were stable between 2015 and 2020 (from 9.83 to 10.13/100,000 person-years in men, and from 2.21 to 2.41/100,000 person-years in women). For gastric non-cardia adenocarcinoma, the incidence rates continued to decrease between 2015 and 2020 (from 14.67 to 13.29/100,000 person-years in men, and from 9.37 to 8.14/100,000 person-years in women). There were no major age-group differences in recent incidence trends. Conclusion The 6-year period from 2015 to 2020 inclusive has witnessed stabilising incidence rates of oesophageal and cardia adenocarcinoma in Sweden, whereas the incidence rates of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and non-cardia gastric adenocarcinoma have continued to decrease.