Recent Decrease of Sea Level Pressure in the Central Arctic

Abstract

Arctic sea level pressure data from the period of the Arctic Ocean Buoy Program show a significant decrease in the annual mean. In every calendar month, the annual mean is lower in the second half of the 1979–1994 period than in the first. The changes of the annual means are larger in the central Arctic than anywhere else in the Northern Hemisphere. The decreases are largest and statistically significant in the autumn and winter. The annual anomalies became negative relative to the 16-yr mean in the 1980s and have been negative in every year since 1988. Correspondingly, the mean anticyclone in the Arctic pressure field has weakened and the vorticity of the gradient wind field over the central Arctic Ocean has become more positive than at any time in the past several decades. The pressure decrease, which has been compensated by pressure increases over the subpolar oceans, implies that the wind forcing of sea ice contains an enhanced cyclonic component relative to earlier decades.