Abstract

This article proposes a receding horizon-based information-theoretic source search and estimation strategy for a mobile sensor in an urban environment in which an invisible harmful substance is released into the atmosphere. The mobile sensor estimates the source term including its location and release rate by using sensor observations based on Bayesian inference. The sampling-based sequential Monte Carlo method, particle filter, is employed to estimate the source term state in a highly nonlinear and stochastic system. Infotaxis, the information-theoretic gradient-free search strategy is modified to find the optimal search path that maximizes the reduction of the entropy of the source term distribution. In particular, receding horizon Infotaxis (RHI) is introduced to avoid falling into the local optima and to find more successful information gathering paths in obstacle-rich urban environments. Besides, a random sampling method is introduced to reduce the computational load of the RHI for real-time computation. The random sampling method samples the predicted future measurements based on current estimation of the source term and computes the optimal search path using sampled measurements rather than considering all possible future measurements. To demonstrate the benefit of the proposed approach, comprehensive numerical simulations are performed for various conditions. The proposed algorithm increases the success rate by about 30% and reduces the mean search time by about 40% compared with the existing information-theoretic search strategy.

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