Abstract

Abstract Solvency II came into force on 1 January 2016 and included a transitional measure on technical provisions (“TMTP”) designed to help smooth in the capital impact of Solvency II over a 16-year period. The working party’s view is that the main intention of the TMTP is to mitigate the impact of the introduction of the risk margin, which significantly increases the technical provisions of firms, relative to their Solvency I Pillar 2 liabilities. The majority of firms who hold a TMTP have now had at least one recalculation approved by the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA); or are in the process of applying for a recalculation. Despite this large number of approved recalculations, there remains significant uncertainty in the industry around the approach and triggers for recalculation. This paper considers aspects of TMTP recalculation for regulated UK life firms, for example practicalities of the calculation, asset and liability considerations, and communications/announcements. In this paper, we outline the need for pragmatism when considering the approach to recalculation of a measure originally intended to serve as the bridge between two regimes. We call for an allowance for doing what is sensible in a principles-based regime balancing what might be more theoretically correct with what is practical and possible to support effective management of the business.

Highlights

  • Solvency II came into force on 1 January 2016 and included a transitional measure on technical provisions (“TMTP”) designed to help smooth in the capital impact over a 16-year period

  • SS6/16 indicates that the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) expects firms to carry out a recalculation every 2 years from the date of implementation of Solvency II (1 January 2016) over the TMTP’s 16-year lifetime, irrespective of any recalculations resulting from a material change in risk profile

  • No mention is made to materiality for biennial calculations which is in contrast to recalculations for changes in risk profile for which the SS indicates that only if the solvency cover ratio changes by 5% or more would the PRA expect firms to apply for a recalculation

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Summary

Introduction

During 2016, interest rates fell and the value of the risk margin increased reflecting its sensitivity to changes in interest rates. As indicated in a number of sections in this paper, an application-based recalculation has a number of issues which the working party believes can be addressed through a more dynamic recalculation. These issues primarily relate to the timing of when the balance sheet TMTP aligns to the latent proforma TMTP that would apply following a recalculation. ∙ Capital planning and dividend payment plans Both of which should be mindful of the differences in the balance sheet and the latent TMTP;. The remainder of this section outlines how this might work in practice

Structure of This Paper
Background
Overview of Calculation
Recalculation of TMTP
Forward Challenges and Management of the Business
Other Calculation Considerations
Why Would Firms Want to Recalculate the TMTP?
Risk Margin
Basic Risk-Free Rate
Solvency II MA and the Solvency I Pillar 2 Illiquidity Premium
Solvency II Volatility Adjustment
Contract Boundaries
Treatment of Ancillary Expense Companies
Future Shareholder Transfers in Respect of With-Profits Business
With-Profits Planned Enhancements
Changes That Could Impact on Any of the Items Above
3.10. Stress and Scenario Testing
Recalculation every 2 years
Material change in risk profile
Firm’s Recalculation Policy
Application Process
How to Recalculate the TMTP?
Segregation of business
Maintaining the prior regime
Proportionality
Firm specific
Evolve over time
Areas for Consideration – Calculation of Unrestricted TMTP
Double run-off
Scale the business in-force at the recalculation date
Recalculate liabilities at 1 January 2016
Splitting business into pre- and post-1 January 2016 segments
Changes to the discount rates used under Solvency I versus Solvency II
Other factors that impact on the potential value of TMTP
Changes in ICG on technical provisions Overview of issue
Overview
Differences between Solvency I and Solvency II to consider in the FRR test
Segregation for pre- and post-1 January 2016 business
Maintaining Solvency I models
Reviewing Individual Capital Guidance
Which metric to optimise?
Buying time to apply for the MA
Non-use of MA
Differences in Solvency II and Solvency I Pillar 2 hypothecation
Differences in eligibility
Pooled asset allocation
PRA cash-flow tests
Re-hypothecate to maximise the TMTP benefit
New assets or new liabilities post Solvency II implementation
6.2.10. FRR comparison test implications
Aims of reset
Principles of a dynamically recalculated TMTP
Which material risk profile changes?
When to recalculate the TMTP?
How to recalculate a dynamically recalculated TMTP
Governance for TMTP recalculation
Review of effectiveness of dynamic TMTP calculation
Impact of recalculation
Recalculation strategy and policy
Transparent and consistent disclosures
External Audit Requirements
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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