Abstract
Abstract With 8 billion barrels of bitumen in place and more than 30 years of thermal piloting and demonstration projects, Peace River offers an excellent growth opportunity for Shell's ultraheavy oil portfolio. In support of this initiative, integrated geological and reservoir modeling of two project areas was conducted. The key objectives were to improve predictive modeling capability of cyclic steam stimulation (CSS) projects by history matching two groups of CSS multilateral wells and develop a history matched physical representation that not only validates empirical models but can be deployed to optimize CSS designs for full field development. Detailed geological models were created over two pad areas providing a geological framework large enough to have realistic boundary conditions, including impact of surrounding wells. The geological models were imported into CMG's STARS thermal reservoir simulator, and a relatively fine grid was extended over each project area. All available historical production, injection, pressure and temperature data were used in history matching. Steam-induced reservoir dilation, explicit fracturing, and relative permeability hysteresis were important aspects of the overall physical representation. Common physical parameters for dilation/re-compaction, fractures, permeability/porosity transforms, vertical to horizontal permeability ratios, and relative permeability hysteresis were used for both pads. Each pad area maintained its own unique geological, petrophysical, and fluid properties, in line with observed field trends. Excellent history matches (aided by experimental design) of injection and production volumes, injection wellhead pressures, estimated production bottom-hole pressures and temperature profiles were achieved not only for the entire Pad A and B groups of wells, but also for the individual wells. In summary, a predictive CSS simulation model has been developed and validated by history matching two areas of the Peace River field. The model is suitable for sensitivity studies of geological, petrophysical, and fluid properties. It is also capable of assessing impact of well configuration, spacing, steam quality, and steaming strategy.
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