Real options analysis of the timing of IS investment decisions

Abstract

Many information systems (IS) investments belong to a class of capital budgeting problem where there is an option: the investment may be made straight away or delayed for some period. A real options analysis could allow decision-makers to add value to these investment decisions by providing a framework that explicitly recognises uncertainty. This paper uses options pricing theory to determine the optimal timing of IS investments and to explore the effect of different investment review cycles. The findings provide support for the common industry practice of demanding short payback periods for IS investments.