Abstract

Revision Total Knee Arthroplasty (rTKA) is predicted to increase by more than 600% between 2005 and 2030. The survivorship of primary TKA has been extensively investigated, however more granular information on the risks of rTKA is needed. The aim of the study was to investigate the incidence of re-revision TKA, with explanatory variables of time from primary to revision, and indication (aseptic vs septic). Secondary aim was to investigate mortality.This is an analysis of the Scottish Arthroplasty Project data set, a national audit prospectively recording data on all joint replacements performed in Scotland. The period from 2000 to 2019 was studied.4723 patients underwent revision TKA. The relationship between time from primary to revision TKA and 2nd revision was significant (p<0.001), with increasing time lowering probability of re-revision (OR 0.99 95% CI 0.987 to 0.993). There was no significant association in time to first revision on time from 1st revision to re-revision (p>0.05). Overall mortality for all patients was 32% at 10 years (95% CI 31-34), Time from primary TKA to revision TKA had a significant effect on mortality: p=0.004 OR 1.03 (1.01-1.05). Septic revisions had a reduced mortality compared to aseptic, OR 0.95 (0.71-1.25) however this was not significant (p=0.69).This is the first study to demonstrate time from primary TKA to revision TKA having a significant effect on probability of re-revision TKA. Furthermore the study suggests mortality is increased with increasing time from primary procedure to revision, however decreased if the indication is septic rather than aseptic.

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