Abstract
Significant price increases of gas and oil and the deterioration of the ecological situation in the Ukraine require a fundamental transformation of the Ukrainian energy system towards increased energy efficiency and less risky energy-conversion technologies. For DESNA, the largest military housing facility in the country, a detailed set of energy demand and supply data has been compiled. Based on these, a number of energy conservation strategies and the associated savings in energy cost and CO 2 emissions have been analyzed with the latest, easy-to-use version of the stochastic optimization model ECCO in a pilot study which serves as a precursor to broader investigations for the region of Kiev. Depending upon the scenario, optimization indicates saving potentials between 15 and 50% of the primary energy input of the present DESNA energy system. The corresponding reductions of energy cost and CO 2 emissions range from 28 to 65% and from 2 to 38%, respectively. Combination of these results with investment and maintenance costs, which are difficult to estimate in the present situation of economic transition in the Ukraine, should allow the choice of the technology option which is fitted best to the Ukrainian economic and environmental constraints.
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