Abstract

Within a decade, Kosovo has compromised twice: accepting the process of decentralization in order to achieve independence and international recognition, through the President Martti Ahtisaari’s Comprehensive Proposal for the Kosovo Status Settlement (2 February 2007), and finally, by approving to offer autonomy for Kosovo Serbs for the sovereignty, but still within the limits of the Ahtisaari Plan.Coincidentally, the same Serbian political parties which had fought three wars, resulting in dissolution of the state (Former Yugoslavia) at that time (the Socialist Party and the Serbian Radical Party), now are in power in the Republic of Serbia, and have the possibility to finally solve the Kosovo case, and to open the perspective for this part, Europe’s black hole, to be engaged in global integration. Statements by senior Serbian politicians are positively shifting, compared to the radicalization of the relations between Albanians and Serbs three decades ago and it is believed that the developments will evolve towards rational choice and acceptance by the parties. Being under pressure by difficult socio-economic situation and need for integration processes, both sides undertake risky and unpopular steps by signing unclear political and verbal agreements on normalization of relations, which may produce difficult solving externalities in the future. The risk lies in the possibility of further damaging the Kosovo’s “piece of the cake”, after every refusal step by the Serbian side, which will damage the interest of Kosovo side according to the “zero sum” game. Analyses of the dialogue process between Kosovo and Serbia reflect the mixed benefits to the parties, resulting in not very soon European integration, and with hope on difficult but necessary reconciliation between Albanians and Serbs in the region. The broken, after the war established, status quo is better than entering into a protracted conflict in the middle of Europe.

Highlights

  • The EU, interested to capitalize the last unresolved dispute in its yard, between Kosovo and Serbia, supported by US, firstly pushed Serbia to agree to hold EU-facilitated talks with Kosovo on technical issues, rather than on political and the question of Kosovo’s status

  • Rational Choice Theory as a scientific approach and mechanism to analyze the human behavior in political decision-making is used as a basis to analyze the Kosovo-Serbia dialogue held during April 2013

  • The Kosovo Assembly, on 18th October 2012 adopted a “Resolution on Normalization of Relations between Republic of Kosovo and Republic of Serbia” which supported the process of negotiations, stating that every agreement should be in compliance with the Kosovo Constitution and not about political issues, conditioned if that is the case they must be ratified by the Assembly

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Summary

Introduction

The EU, interested to capitalize the last unresolved dispute in its yard, between Kosovo and Serbia, supported by US, firstly pushed Serbia to agree to hold EU-facilitated talks with Kosovo on technical issues, rather than on political and the question of Kosovo’s status. After rounds of talks on technical items, the Commission recommended that Serbia be given the status of a membership candidate if it re-engages in the dialogue with Kosovo and implements already reached agreements. The Commission recommended that Serbia be given a date to begin membership negotiations if it achieved further steps in normalizing its relations with Kosovo. Aggressive behavior of Serbia related to Kosovo is a result of the stony-faced Serbian expansionist philosophy and mentality of artificially created myth "Kosovo-cradle of Serbia", which was often and silently accepted by certain political circles in Europe and the world. Rational Choice Theory as a scientific approach and mechanism to analyze the human behavior in political decision-making is used as a basis to analyze the Kosovo-Serbia dialogue held during April 2013. Available from: http://www.invest-in-serbia.com/government-activities/3152-pm-stateofficials-demonstrate-complete-unity.html , accessed, 20 January, 2014. The article was written immediately after the acceptance of the agreement from the two parts and as a result the documents accompanying the agreement might not have complete information and as such their content may result in an error in the analysis

Opening of the negotiations
Dialogue as a rational approach on solving the Kosovo-Serbia dispute
14 See more at
Analysis of such Decision-making
22 Ten Serbians requirements for the agreement
23 Nikolić
28 Serbia became a member of the Warsaw Pact successor
The agreement implementation obstacles and benefits
Conclusions
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