Abstract

Drug resistance is one of the major problems in targeted cancer therapy. A major cause of resistance is changes in the amino acids that form the drug-target binding site. Despite of the numerous efforts made to individually understand and overcome these mutations, there is a lack of comprehensive analysis of the mutational landscape that can prospectively estimate drug-resistance mutations. Here we describe and computationally validate a framework that combines the cancer-specific likelihood with the resistance impact to enable the detection of single point mutations with the highest chance to be responsible of resistance to a particular targeted cancer therapy. Moreover, for these treatment-threatening mutations, the model proposes alternative therapies overcoming the resistance. We exemplified the applicability of the model using EGFR-gefitinib treatment for Lung Adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and Lung Squamous Cell Cancer (LSCC) and the ERK2-VTX11e treatment for melanoma and colorectal cancer. Our model correctly identified the phenotype known resistance mutations, including the classic EGFR-T790M and the ERK2-P58L/S/T mutations. Moreover, the model predicted new previously undescribed mutations as potentially responsible of drug resistance. Finally, we provided a map of the predicted sensitivity of alternative ERK2 and EGFR inhibitors, with a particular highlight of two molecules with a low predicted resistance impact.

Highlights

  • Cell population of a tumor are of the order of thousands or even millions of mutations depending of the tumor type and size[23]

  • Despite the fact that these two classes performed the lower recall of the IS class indicated that this class had a higher number of false negatives (FN; i.e., instances of the ISEN class misassigned to another class)

  • We have demonstrated the power of this framework to predict previously clinically described drug resistance mutants and identified novel potential mutants that can potentially infer drug resistance

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Summary

Introduction

Cell population of a tumor are of the order of thousands or even millions of mutations depending of the tumor type and size[23]. The advent of the massive cancer genomic data has prompted the development of several mathematical and computational models[27] Some of these models focus on characterizing tumor evolutionary processes[28,29,30] while others, study tumor response to single targeted treatment[31,32,33,34] or combinational therapy[35]. The structural nature of the predictions helped to elucidate the specific mechanism of resistance of each mutation For both EGFR and ERK2 treatment-threatening mutations, the model proposed alternative inhibitors that might overcome resistance

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