Rate of children at Thailand–Myanmar border area prone to tuberculosis infection: An epidemiological prediction with referencing to bacillus Calmette–Guerin vaccination in Thailand

Abstract

Background: The high incidence of tuberculosis exists in several areas around the world. In Indochina, the area between Thailand and Myanmar is presently the problematic endemic area of tuberculosis. The extremely high incidence of tuberculosis at this area becomes an important global public health consideration. Methods: In this specific article, the authors perform a mathematical model study based on the local available data on the efficacy and coverage rate of Bacillus Calmette–Guerin vaccination in Thailand. The specific situation at the Thailand–Myanmar border is focused in the present assessment. Results: The high incidence of children at Thailand–Myanmar border area prone to tuberculosis infection can be detected. Conclusion: The increase Bacillus Calmette–Guerin coverage and finding for new effective tuberculosis vaccine might be necessary for reduce the problem of high incidence of tuberculosis at the Thailand and Myanmar border area.