Abstract

The demography of Primula veris, a typical species of the species-rich Mesobromion grasslands, was investigated at two contrasting habitats in Eastern Belgium. Both a forested site and a clear-cut parcel were part of formerly larger calcareous grassland areas. By monitoring the demographic response of the target species, this study attempts to clarify the differences in fecundity, growth and survival between a restored and degraded calcareous grassland site. A study of plant traits showed a decrease in number of flowers, inflorescence stalks and plant size under a closing tree canopy. We surveyed individuals in permanent plots between 1999 and 2001. At the forested site, a first sign of decline included lower proportions of flowering individuals and afterwards an increase in mortality was found. Alternatively, removing canopy resulted in an immediate flowering response and both increased growth and seedling recruitment the year after. At both sites, survival rates strongly depended on the initial state, location and year. Projection matrix analysis revealed large differences in modelled population growth rates between sites and years. Under closing canopy the species showed only slow population decline, but the decrease was larger in the last survey year when higher mortality affected the number of reproductive individuals. Transitions between stages with the highest impact on population growth rate were identified by elasticity analysis. If calcareous grassland is forested, survival of reproductive adults is predicted to be very important for conservation of P. veris populations. However, seedling recruitment needs to be raised to guarantee long-term persistence of the populations. On the other hand, clear-felling of a site for restoration of species-rich calcareous grasslands may result in a rapid recovery of certain species.

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