Abstract

Rapid assessments of the impacts of the COVID-19 crisis on the seed sector were conducted by a coalition of partners in Ethiopia, Myanmar, Nigeria, and Uganda in May and June 2020. The method was rapid, iterative, inclusive and valuable in revealing threats to the availability and timely access of farmers to quality seed and to food, nutrition and income security, and in advocating for remedial and preventative action. Via mobile application and web survey, and focus group discussions on virtual conferencing platforms a panel of 36 or more local experts operating particularly in formal seed systems in each country identified potential disruptions to activities in the seed sector and recommended immediate practical action to ensure continuity in performance. Recommendations, and the stakeholders best positioned to propel their action, were proposed to and approved by senior leadership in the sector. The entire process from survey to publication of a seed alert in each iteration was completed within two weeks. Due to the highly seasonal nature of agriculture, and recognition that activities are time-bound, quick turnaround on assessments was essential. Dashboards indicated where impact was felt the hardest, also showing how dynamic the situation was. Countries were at different stages in their agricultural seasons, which made the data highly contextual, but also interesting for getting a glimpse into the future. Lessons were offered from one country to another. Reduced mobility was the root cause of many disruptions in supplying seed to farmers. Disruptions caused seed and related industry to operate at reduced capacity. The cost of transactions and doing business during these times may have increased the scarcity and price of inputs beyond what farmers can recover. Sales of quality seed in formal markets were perceived to decline due to delays in distribution, weakened promotion efforts and fewer farmers present. Farmers are less likely to benefit from investments in crop improvement for more seasons to come due to delays in the development and release of new varieties. Social distancing prevents stakeholders from meeting to exchange goods, services and information, but the sector is gradually getting up to speed with information technology. For all concerns, practical options were offered and often implemented. The pandemic has exacerbated structural weaknesses in the organization of the seed sector, for which reforms are not only justified, but overdue.

Highlights

  • Over the first half of 2020, COVID-19 has expanded across the globe, officially declared a pandemic on March 11th

  • We examined how the crisis impacts multiple functions within the seed sector, with emphasis upon formal and regulated oper­ ations of and service provision to the seed value chains of several important food crops

  • The assessments of the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the func­ tioning of the seed sector were conducted in Ethiopia, Myanmar, Nigeria and Uganda

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Summary

Introduction

Over the first half of 2020, COVID-19 has expanded across the globe, officially declared a pandemic on March 11th. Public health efforts have unfortunate effects on the functioning of our economy and food systems. The World Bank (2020) has projected that economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa will decline from 2.4% in 2019, and contract by between 2.1% and 5.1% in 2020. This predicts the first recession in the region in 25 years. The Asian Development Bank (2020) forecasts that regional economic growth in developing Asia will decline in 2020, suggesting a downward revision of 3.3% to 2.2%. There is a fear that government and development partners will cut agricultural spending and shift priority towards managing the immediate effects of the crisis in public health care. Forecasts are certain to be outdated in the near future

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