Random veering triangulations are not geometric

Abstract

Every pseudo-Anosov mapping class $\varphi$ defines an associated veering triangulation $\tau_\varphi$ of a punctured mapping torus. We show that generically, $\tau_\varphi$ is not geometric. Here, the word "generic" can be taken either with respect to random walks in mapping class groups or with respect to counting geodesics in moduli space. Tools in the proof include Teichm\"uller theory, the Ending Lamination Theorem, study of the Thurston norm, and rigorous computation.