Abstract

Accurate satellite orbit calculation has always been a focus in the aerospace field. Especially, the error distribution of the orbit involving various internal and external factors in the satellite launch process has an important influence on the effectiveness of the satellite cluster. To qualitatively and quantitatively analyze the cooperative efficiency of multi-satellite clusters involving various random errors, this paper analyzes the random error sources in the launch process of micro-nano satellites and studies the distribution law of these satellite orbit position errors. Based on the parameter estimation and the central limit theorem of probability theory, the expression of the error function for the satellite’s orbit position is also constructed. In addition, the probability distribution model of the satellites in a certain range is designed, and the relationship between the number of satellites and the overall errors is proposed. Finally, the result is verified by the simulation experiment, which provides the rationale behind the position and altitude adjustment and constellation optimization of micro-nano satellites.

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