Abstract

The trends of rainfall climate fluctuations in the periods 1963-1982, 1983-2001 and 2002-2019 were analyzed, seeking to understand possible variations in these fluctuations for the socioeconomic sectors and providing contributions to decision makers on possible risks. The rainfall data were from the Northeast Development Superintendence and the Technical Assistance and Rural Extension Company of the state of Sergipe, between 1963 and 2019. The periods 1963-1982 are used; 1983-2001 and 2002-2019, performing the rainfall trend for the respective months of the periods studied. Trend studies are accessible when analyzing long data series or split into 20-year sub-periods for a perfect understanding of their oscillations. The results found and discussed can be a beneficial tool for carrying out planning, monitoring and acts that point out the best way to manage rainfall rates to be used in agriculture, health, thermal comfort in cities, among other applications. The irregularity of rainfall distribution is limiting factors for the increase in agriculture and agribusiness under study.

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