Abstract

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP) are diseases with a highly analogous visual presentation that are difficult to distinguish by imaging. The purpose of this research was to create a radiomics-based prediction model using dual-time PET/CT imaging for the noninvasive classification of PDAC and AIP lesions. This retrospective study was performed on 112 patients (48 patients with AIP and 64 patients with PDAC). All cases were confirmed by imaging and clinical follow-up, and/or pathology. A total of 502 radiomics features were extracted from the dual-time PET/CT images to develop a radiomics decision model. An additional 12 maximum intensity projection (MIP) features were also calculated to further improve the radiomics model. The optimal radiomics feature set was selected by support vector machine recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE), and the final classifier was built using a linear SVM. The performance of the proposed dual-time model was evaluated using nested cross-validation for accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). The final prediction model was developed from a combination of the SVM-RFE and linear SVM with the required quantitative features. The multimodal and multidimensional features performed well for classification (average AUC: 0.9668, accuracy: 89.91%, sensitivity: 85.31%, specificity: 96.04%). The radiomics model based on 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (2-[18F]FDG) PET/CT dual-time images provided promising performance for discriminating between patients with benign AIP and malignant PDAC lesions, which shows its potential for use as a diagnostic tool for clinical decision-making. • The clinical symptoms and imaging visual presentations of PDAC and AIP are highly similar, and accurate differentiation of PDAC and AIP lesions is difficult. • Radiomics features provided a potential noninvasive method for differentiation of AIP from PDAC. • The diagnostic performance of the proposed radiomics model indicates its potential to assist doctors in making treatment decisions.

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